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High street sales slow as UK households 'feel the pinch' of Brexit-fuelled inflation

The 'tepid trading conditions' for the retail sector are also taking their toll on hiring and investment, according to the CBI

Zlata Rodionova
Tuesday 23 May 2017 15:35 BST
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Retail sales slowed in May as household budgets begin to feel the squeeze of rising inflation
Retail sales slowed in May as household budgets begin to feel the squeeze of rising inflation (Getty)

High street sales slowed in May as British households started to feel the pinch of rising inflation and slowing wage growth, according to the latest data from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI).

CBI’s latest quarterly survey of 117 retailers, found that retail sales volume dropped to a balance of plus 2 per cent in May, a significant slowdown compared to a balance plus 38 per cent in April, when the warm weather and late Easter holiday-spending pushed up sales.

The CBI said that “tepid trading conditions” for the sector were also taking their toll on hiring and investment.

The survey showed that employment declined in the year to May for the second quarter running, and is set to fall again in the year to June.

“Retail sales flattened out this month, as the bounce in April unwound. It’s clear that households are increasingly feeling the pinch, as rising inflation pushes down on real earnings. Taken together with higher import cost pressures from a weaker pound, this is creating a challenging environment for retailers,” Alpesh Paleja, principal economist at CBI said.

According to figures from the Office for National Statistics published last week, retail sales jumped by 2.3 per cent in April, suggesting the UK consumer might be more resilient than feared.

But other analysts have warned that the figures, even with the agency's seasonal adjustments, are volatile and should not be taken as a sign of consumer confidence.

“April’s surge in retail sales likely isn’t a turning point, given the outlook for falling real wages, modest employment growth and a tightening of the supply of unsecured credit,” Samuel Tombs of Pantheon said at the time.

The UK consumer price index of inflation jumped by 2.7 per cent in April according to the ONS, meaning real wages fell for the first time in three years.

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